Brookings: Topics - Nuclear Weapons

The Iran Hostage Crisis: 30 Years Later

Wed, 04 Nov 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Three decades after Iran seized the U.S. Embassy in Tehran, igniting a 14-month hostage crisis, Suzanne Maloney examines the current state of power in the Islamic Republic. Maloney says that the recent demonstrations in Iran are an extension of the country's unanswered conversation of legitimate ruling authority, and that responses by hard-liners indicate a belief that any reform would beget revolution.

Nuclear Renaissance and the U.S.-Japan Alliance: Finding New Markets and Preventing Proliferation

Fri, 30 Oct 2009 09:00:00 GMT

Event Information:

October 30, 2009, 9:00 AM to 12:00 PM

On October 30, the Center for Northeast Asian Policy Studies at Brookings and the Slavic Research Center at Hokkaido University hosted experts from Japan and the United States for a conference looking at nuclear energy and nuclear nonproliferation. Topics included trends in international nuclear markets, the U.S. approach to nuclear energy and the future of nuclear nonproliferation.

U.S., Russia Must Lead on Arms Control

Tue, 13 Oct 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Ten years ago, the U.S. Senate rejected the comprehensive test ban treaty (CTBT), setting back efforts to reduce the world's stockpiles of nuclear weapons. Brent Scowcroft, Joseph Nye, Nicholas Burns and Strobe Talbott offer the Obama administration their counsel on how to build support for a revised CTBT and a new strategic arms reduction treaty with Russia.

A Proposal for a "Bosworth Process" with North Korea: Denuclearization and Beyond

Tue, 13 Oct 2009 00:00:00 GMT

After months of provocations by North Korea, conditions are now developing that should allow the U.S. Special Envoy, Stephen Bosworth, to visit Pyongyang. In this paper, Brookings Visiting Fellow Sun-won Park calls for a "Bosworth Process," a plan to achieve not only denuclearization of the Korean peninsula but also to bring North Korea into the international community in a far-sighted and peaceful way.

Pakistan: The Next Nuclear Nightmare?

Mon, 12 Oct 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Bruce Riedel says this weekend’s attack on the army headquarters in Rawalpindi, the military center of Pakistan, underscores the volatility and fragility in the world’s second largest Muslim country. Riedel argues that the United States must encourage Pakistan too keep moving against extremists while assuring them we will not abandon the fight in the region.

The Iran Talks in Geneva: Too Soon to Tell

Fri, 02 Oct 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Kenneth Pollack says recent discussions between the P5-plus-one and Iran were not earth-shaking, with several questions remaining unanswered in the aftermath. However, Pollack does find it interesting that the Iranians demonstrated some willingness to compromise on small interests and there was no attempt to grandstand at the meeting.

Iran Gives Nod to Inspections, More Nuclear Talks

Thu, 01 Oct 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Iran has agreed to a second round of discussions over its disputed nuclear program following a meeting in Geneva with diplomats from the United States and other world powers. Suzanne Maloney joined PBS' NewsHour to discuss how this week's talks were a positive step and what to expect from future engagement between the United States and Iran.

Iran Sanctions: Who Really Wins?

Wed, 30 Sep 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Iranian officials agreed in principle with the United States and five other international powers in Geneva to export their uranium enrichment program in exchange for a halt in UN sanctions action. Djavad Salehi-Isfahani argues that sanctions would be the wrong choice anyway. Existing sanctions have had no discernible effect on Iran's nuclear policy, and harsher sanctions may actually strengthen President Ahmadinejad's populist control of the economy.

After START: Hurdles Ahead

Mon, 28 Sep 2009 00:00:00 GMT

President Obama and Russian President Dmitry Medvedev both see a follow-on agreement to the 1991 Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty as a top priority in U.S.-Russia relations. Steven Pifer writes that while a post-START treaty should not pose any major obstacles, complex nuclear issues are likely to make this the last “easy” arms control agreement between Washington and Moscow.

Obama's Announcement About Iran's Secret Enrichment Facility

Fri, 25 Sep 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Suzanne Maloney writes that Friday’s announcement by President Barack Obama and his French and British counterparts about Iran’s covert nuclear activities had all the ingredients of a blockbuster. Maloney explores the likelihood that the announcement will force Iran's hand and outlines the potential impact on the stances of Russia and China.

A Better Base for Cutting Nuclear Weapons

Sun, 20 Sep 2009 00:00:00 GMT

President Obama's decision to rethink and revamp the plan for Poland-based defenses against Iranian missiles was met with some criticism at home and in Eastern Europe for giving too much to Russia. However, argues Brookings President Strobe Talbott, the new strategy is a pragmatic step to counter Iran's real short-range missile threat, strengthens the transatlantic alliance, and better serves the goals of U.S.-Russian strategic arms reduction.

The Scouting Report: Dialing Down North Korea’s Nuclear Threat

Wed, 05 Aug 2009 12:30:00 GMT

Event Information:

August 05, 2009, 12:30 PM to 1:30 PM

Former President Bill Clinton traveled to Pyongyang for a surprise meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong Il on Tuesday, and secured the release of two American reporters detained since March. This visit came at a tense time following North Korean nuclear and ballistic missile tests in the past months. Brookings expert Richard Bush and Politico's Fred Barbash took questions on the North Korea nuclear problem in this week’s edition of the Scouting Report.

Kim Jong Il Pardons Journalists During Bill Clinton Visit

Tue, 04 Aug 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Following a surprise meeting with former President Bill Clinton, North Korean leader Kim Jong Il pardoned two jailed American journalists. Dennis Wilder joined other experts on PBS' NewsHour to examine the implications of the meeting.

Pressing Pyongyang on Rights

Fri, 31 Jul 2009 00:00:00 GMT

The now-defunct six-party talks in which the U.S., South Korea, Japan, Russia, and China participated focused almost exclusively on North Korea's nuclear weapons program. But, as Roberta Cohen argues, with a struggle for succession underway in Pyongyang and some of the country's internal controls reportedly beginning to erode, it's the time to rethink the near-exclusion of human rights from the U.S.-North Korean dialogue.

China's Temptation to Invest in Iran's Oil Industry

Thu, 30 Jul 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Erica Downs examines what is behind the recent Iranian invitation to China to invest $43 billion in Iran's oil industry. Downs argues that Iran is aiming to lessen the impact of additional international sanctions by adding to its meager refining capability, but she also believes there are several reasons China will be unwilling to deliver everything Iran wants.

Minimizing Potential Threats from Iran: Assessing Sanctions and Other U.S. Policy Options

Thu, 30 Jul 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Suzanne Maloney testified before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs on recent developments in Iran and the possibility of new sanctions. Maloney noted that while sanctions may be the only effective means of persuading Iran to cooperate, the willingness of the international community is limited and Iran is somewhat insulated because of its already poor economy and extensive petroleum exports.

Raising Human Rights with North Korea

Thu, 23 Jul 2009 00:00:00 GMT

The U.S. government's policies toward North Korea in recent years have drawn criticism for focusing primarily on denuclearization, while neglecting human rights issues, even as the country's human rights situation remains dire. Roberta Cohen says arguments against including human rights in discussions with North Korea are flawed and recommends integrating human rights as part of an overall U.S. policy toward North Korea.

Armageddon in Islamabad

Thu, 23 Jul 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Bruce Riedel warns not to be fooled by some of the positive news from Pakistan, because the Taliban and their allies have gained significant power there recently. Riedel says we face the potential of a nuclear-armed state run by Islamic extremists, shows the devastating consequences of such and offers ideas to keep it from occurring.

Iran: Recent Developments and Implications for U.S. Policy

Wed, 22 Jul 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Suzanne Maloney testified before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs on recent developments in Iran after the June 12 election and resulting protests across the country. Maloney addressed the current internal political crisis, the efficiency of additional international sanctions against Iran and offered suggestions for U.S. policy going forward.

Hillary Clinton's Passage to India

Thu, 16 Jul 2009 00:00:00 GMT

T.P. Sreenivasan examines the U.S.-India relationship in the context of Secretary of State Clinton's trip to the country. Though he believes the Obama administration has set the right tone with India, Sreenivasan argues that troubles may arise on several policy fronts including nuclear technology and fighting terrorism.

Iran’s Quest for Regional Preeminence: Implications for Middle East Security

Tue, 14 Jul 2009 08:00:00 GMT

Event Information:

July 14, 2009, 8:00 AM to 5:00 PM
July 15, 2009, 8:00 AM to 5:00 PM

On July 14-15, the Saban Center at Brookings and the United States Central Command partnered for the first time to convene a joint conference. Over one-hundred-and-fifty participants came together to analyze developments in Iran, including Iran’s support of terrorist groups, Iran’s foreign policy, and the Iranian nuclear program.

The G8: From Trieste to L’Aquila

Fri, 03 Jul 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Federiga Binda believes the recent G8 foreign ministers meeting in Trieste has set the stage for pragmatic and operative discussions at the upcoming G8 summit. Bindi examines key issues of the debate including Afghanistan, nuclear proliferation and the future role of the European Union in global governance.

Previewing President Obama’s Trip to Russia

Wed, 01 Jul 2009 14:48:04 GMT

As President Barack Obama and Russian President Dmitry Medvedev meet in Moscow, Steven Pifer says the administration is looking for three key outcomes from the meeting: a new treaty to replace START, a cooperative approach for dealing with Iran and Afghanistan, and a structured mechanism to keep their mutual interests on track.

Options for a New American Strategy Toward Iran

Tue, 30 Jun 2009 00:00:00 GMT

In a new Saban Analysis Paper, six Brookings experts analyze the main policy approaches toward Iran. In examining the benefits and drawbacks of the nine options—including engagement, persuasion, airstrikes, and containment—the authors refrain from recommending one policy over the other. Rather, they present the details of the policies in a manner that allows readers to understand the complexity of the challenge that is Iran and decide for themselves which group of policies is best.

The Moscow Summit and Improving the U.S.-Russian Relationship

Wed, 24 Jun 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Steven Pifer looks toward President Obama's July visit to Moscow where he will meet with President Medvedev of Russia. Pifer outlines three outcomes—including a successor to the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty—the U.S. should hope for from the talks.

Trieste, Al Qaeda and the Stakes in Afghanistan and Pakistan

Wed, 24 Jun 2009 00:00:00 GMT

As G8 foreign ministers meet in Italy prior to the G8 summit in July, Bruce Riedel comments on an interview in which an al Qaeda operative predicts the group will take over Afghanistan and Pakistan then use Pakistan's nuclear weapons against the United States. Riedel says the foreign ministers need to be clear and unequivocal that they will provide the resources needed to defeat al Qaeda and the Taliban to lessen the chance of a nuclear Armageddon.

A New North Korea Strategy

Wed, 24 Jun 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Michael O'Hanlon and Stephen Solarz write that with China’s lead—and U.S. support—Pyongyang could be brought to its knees and given the choice of watching its economy collapse or giving up nuclear weapons.

Which Path to Persia? Options for a New American Strategy Toward Iran

Tue, 23 Jun 2009 14:00:00 GMT

Event Information:

June 23, 2009, 2:00 PM to 3:30 PM

With Iran in the grip of post-election uncertainty, the question of how to approach America’s most vexing Middle East policy challenge has become acute. On June 23, the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at Brookings hosted a discussion with the authors of a new monograph titled "Which Path to Persia? Options for a New American Strategy toward Iran," which outlines nine policy options for the United States in its approach to Iran during this pivotal time.

North Korea’s Nuclear and Missile Tests and the Six-Party Talks: Where Do We Go From Here?

Wed, 17 Jun 2009 00:00:00 GMT

In testimony before Congress on June 17, senior fellow and CNAPS director Richard Bush described how North Korea’s recent nuclear and missile tests have transformed the challenge faced by the international system. Dr. Bush testified that it is now clear that North Korea bases its security on nuclear weapons, and the hope that it will abandon the nuclear option has disappeared.

Obama, South Korean President Criticize North Korea's Actions

Tue, 16 Jun 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Dennis Wilder joined Gwen Ifill to discuss President Obama and South Korean President Lee Myung-bak meeting about recent provocations in the latest round of the ongoing diplomatic standoff with North Korea.

North Korea Collapse Scenarios

Tue, 09 Jun 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Iraq and Afghanistan continue to pre-occupy U.S. military planners. But North Korea, with its growing nuclear arsenal, would become America's paramount security challenge if the state were to collapse. Michael O’Hanlon writes that the United States and other nations must begin detailed and coordinated planning for stabilization in the event of collapse of the North Korean state.

It is China that Holds the Key to North Korea

Thu, 04 Jun 2009 00:00:00 GMT

In recent months, North Korea has unabashedly plowed forward with the development of its nuclear program, an action that threatens to erode regional stability in Northeast Asia. Dennis Wilder examines the role of China in reducing the North Korean threat and explores the causes, pointing to necessary limits of China’s calculated caution toward North Korea.

Pakistan and the Bomb

Sat, 30 May 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Battles between the Pakistani army, al Qaeda and the Taliban are the latest in a deadly struggle for nuclear-armed Pakistan. Bruce Riedel assesses the history of Pakistan's nuclear program as well as the danger of extremists gaining access to weapons should Pakistan fall into the wrong hands.

Quarantine Possibilities for North Korea Shipping

Thu, 28 May 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Michael O'Hanlon writes that while North Korea risks some tightening of sanctions as a result of their recent nuclear test, it probably will not pay a huge and enduring price. O'Hanlon believes if North Korea is unwilling to dismantle its arsenal the U.S., China, and other international partners should set up a maritime quarantine to monitor ships that could transfer nuclear materials and technology to terrorists or other nations.

North Korea’s Nuclear Paradox

Wed, 27 May 2009 00:00:00 GMT

On May 25, 2009, North Korea (DPRK) conducted its second underground nuclear test—believed to be larger than its 2006 test—and drew swift condemnation from the U.N. Security Council and many nations. Linbo Jin outlines the reasons why the DPRK persists in pursuing nuclear weapons in defiance of the international community.

President Obama's Response to North Korea's Nuclear Test

Wed, 27 May 2009 09:51:59 GMT

The United Nations Security Council, President Obama and other global leaders have condemned North Korea’s recent nuclear test and the launch of several short range missiles. Richard Bush, director of the Center for Northeast Asian Policy Studies, examines North Korea’s bold actions and considers how the United States might respond.

The North Korean Nuclear Crisis

Wed, 27 May 2009 14:30:00 GMT

Event Information:

May 27, 2009, 2:30 PM to 4:00 PM

The latest North Korean nuclear test provoked universal international condemnation. The United Nations Security Council, notably with the support of both China and Russia, unanimously condemned North Korea’s actions. On May 27, the Brookings Institution hosted a discussion on the North Korea nuclear crisis.

North Korea's Nuclear Bargain

Tue, 26 May 2009 00:00:00 GMT

As North Korea continues to challenge the international community with its nuclear ambitions, Richard Bush examines Kim Jong Il's reasoning behind the nuclear test. Bush argues that North Korea's latest provocation is an attempt to frame de-nuclearization negotiations on the most favorable terms by putting the Obama administration on the defensive.

The Scouting Report: Next Steps in U.S.-Russian Nuclear Arms Reductions

Wed, 20 May 2009 12:30:00 GMT

Event Information:

May 20, 2009, 12:30 PM to 01:30 PM

In May, U.S. and Russian officials began meetings in Moscow to discuss cutting stockpiles of nuclear weapons. To assesses the considerations of both the United States and Russia and to offer suggestions for building a new framework to reduce strategic arsenals, Brookings expert Steven Pifer and Senior Politico Editor Fred Barbash took questions in this week’s edition of the Scouting Report.

Pakistan: A Potential Jihadist State?

Wed, 13 May 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Bruce Riedel joined MSNBC's Andrea Mitchell to discuss the deteriorating security situation in Pakistan. Riedel argued that Pakistan is the most dangerous country in the world and that the United States must attempt to support the civilian government, because other options could be disastrous for the region and world.

Rays of Hope in Pakistan, the World’s Powder Keg

Tue, 12 May 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Pakistan—a country with nuclear weapons, extremist groups linked to al Qaeda and, in all likelihood, Osama bin Laden and Ayman Al- Zawahiri—concerns many throughout the world. However, Michael O'Hanlon finds reasons to be optimistic. He notes that the country is not a failed state, its leaders are getting serious about counterinsurgency and President Obama has made the region his utmost foreign policy priority.

Thinking Big on Nuclear Non-Proliferation

Thu, 07 May 2009 00:00:00 GMT

The spread of nuclear weapons is one of the deadliest threats to the human race, and over 30 countries have declared intent to develop nuclear programs. In the wake of a meeting between Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov of Russia, Carlos Pascual and Steven Pifer argue that both countries must breathe new life into the Non-Proliferation Treaty regime to strengthen firewalls against proliferation and curtail weaponization.

Pakistan's Nuclear Scenarios: The Risks with Bombing

Wed, 06 May 2009 00:00:00 GMT

As the Pakistani military launched a new offensive against the Taliban in the country’s North-West Frontier Province, officials and former officials in Washington continued to discuss what the American response should be to the heightened conflict. Michael O'Hanlon offers his views on the situation.

Pakistan's Nuclear Weapons: Averting the Worst

Wed, 06 May 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Reviving U.S.-Russian Nuclear Arms Control

Wed, 06 May 2009 14:00:00 GMT

Event Information:

May 06, 2009, 2:00 PM to 3:30 PM

Nuclear arms control has returned to the top of the U.S.-Russia agenda. President Barack Obama and Russian President Dmitry Medvedev recently agreed to work out a new agreement to reduce strategic offensive arms, part of a process aimed ultimately at a nuclear-free world. On May 6, the Center on the United States and Europe at Brookings hosted a discussion on the role of nuclear arms control in U.S.-Russia relations and its challenges.

Beyond START: Negotiating the Next Step in U.S. and Russian Strategic Nuclear Arms Reductions

Wed, 06 May 2009 00:00:00 GMT

In April, President Obama and Russian President Dmitry Medvedev announced they would work on a new agreement to limit offensive arms before the START treaty expires in December. On Monday, the first round of talks on a new strategic arms reduction treaty begin in Moscow. Steven Pifer assesses the considerations of both countries and offers suggestions for building a new framework to reduce strategic arsenals.

The Mind of Kim Jong Il

Wed, 01 Apr 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Richard Bush offers insight into what North Korea's Kim Jong Il may be thinking on several key issues including the recent missile launch tests and the new U.S. administration of President Barack Obama.

No-Drama Obama and the North Koreans

Wed, 01 Apr 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Some analysts suggested a strong U.S. response was in order to North Korea's long-range rocket test. Michael O'Hanlon argued that the Obama administration should instead be patient and use this as an opportunity for cooperation with an international coalition to secure longer-term goals.

The U.S.-India Nuclear Agreement: Expectations and Consequences

Mon, 23 Mar 2009 10:00:00 GMT

Event Information:

March 23, 2009, 10:00 AM to 4:00 PM

On March 23, the Brookings Institution hosted a discussion featuring a wide range of American and Indian perspectives on issues related to the nuclear agreement and its impact on broader relations. The public event examined the agreement’s implications on American and Indian policy pertaining to energy, economics and technology; non-proliferation and nuclear strategy; and overall U.S.-India relations.

Power and Responsibility: Building International Order in an Era of Transnational Threats

Tue, 10 Mar 2009 10:00:00 GMT

Event Information:

March 10, 2009, 10:00 AM to 12:00 PM

On March 10, the Brookings Institution will host the launch of Power and Responsibility. The authors and distinguished members of the Managing Global Insecurity Project Advisory Group will discuss the importance of restoring American leadership and strengthening the international system in a time of crisis.

The Six-Party Process, Regional Security Mechanisms, and China-U.S. Cooperation

Mon, 09 Mar 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Even though the six-party process focuses on Korean denuclearization, it has also served as a catalyst for the future of Asia-Pacific security cooperation. In this CNAPS Visiting Fellow Working Paper, Pang Zhongying writes that China and the U.S. should extend their positive cooperation on Korean denuclearization into the realm of regional security, and develop a mechanism that ensures peace, stability and prosperity.

Senator John Kerry: Restoring Leadership in the Middle East

Wed, 04 Mar 2009 12:30:00 GMT

Event Information:

March 04, 2009, 12:30 PM to 1:30 PM

The Saban Center at Brookings hosted Senator John Kerry (D-Mass.), chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee, for a discussion of the challenges and opportunities facing the Obama administration in the Middle East.

An Agenda for U.S.-Russian Relations in 2009

Wed, 25 Feb 2009 00:00:00 GMT

As the Bush administration came to a close, U.S.-Russian relations had fallen to their lowest point since the collapse of the Soviet Union. In testimony before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs, Steven Pifer discussed how the Obama administration can engage Russia to meet challenges such as controlling nuclear materials, pressing Iran to forgo nuclear arms, maintaining access to Afghanistan, and countering international terrorism.

Secretary Clinton’s Visit to China and Planning for Future Cooperation on Afghanistan and North Korea

Tue, 17 Feb 2009 00:00:00 GMT

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is visiting four Asian countries this week, including China, and speculation about the issues she will discuss has become a major topic. Hao Zheng discusses how the U.S. and China can cooperate on the reconstruction of Afghanistan and the nuclear crisis in North Korea.

Continuity and Change in Korea: Challenges for Regional Policy and U.S.-Russia Relations

Wed, 11 Feb 2009 00:00:00 GMT

In this CNAPS Visiting Fellow Working Paper, Georgy Toloraya writes that the United States and the other parties concerned must begin to consider three key issues as they seek to convince North Korea to give up its nuclear weapons program: the future of the North Korean state, the basis of its long-term security, and the shape of a new regional security order.

Restore American Leadership to Address Transnational Threats

Thu, 15 Jan 2009 10:30:00 GMT

Event Information:

January 15, 2009, 10:30 AM to 12:00 PM

A new American president must model leadership for a global era, partnering with other powers to build an international security system for the 21st Century. On January 15, Carlos Pascual presented his recommendations to President Obama on how to restore credible American leadership; galvanize cooperative action against major global challenges; and revitalize key international institutions.

Predicting Proliferation: The History of the Future of Nuclear Weapons

Tue, 13 Jan 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Over the past six decades, concerns about nuclear proliferation have shifted from the Cold War paradigm to that of the new millennium—nuclear threats from non-state actors, terrorist organizations and the developing world. Moeed Yusuf, a former Brookings guest scholar, reviews attempts by intelligence communities and independent experts to predict the future of nuclear landscape since the beginning of the Cold War. What can current policy-makers learn from past predictions as they seek to generate policies addressing future proliferation trends?

Reversing the Decline: An Agenda for U.S.-Russian Relations in 2009

Mon, 12 Jan 2009 00:00:00 GMT

As the new U.S. president takes office, U.S.-Russian relations are at the lowest level since the 1991 collapse of the Soviet Union. According to Steve Pifer, several unresolved and problematic issues dominate the this relationship. Pifer suggests that the incoming Obama administration seek a balanced approach toward Russia, making clear that Russia must not violate international norms while encouraging Russian cooperation and integration with international institutions.

Renew Diplomacy in the Middle East

Mon, 05 Jan 2009 14:30:00 GMT

Event Information:

January 05, 2009, 2:30 PM to 4:00 PM

Israel's continued engagement against Hamas in Gaza, now being waged with ground forces, further complicates Barack Obama's agenda for the Middle East, which also includes withdrawing from Iraq and capping Iran’s nuclear ambitions. On January 5, Martin Indyk and Kenneth Pollack offered a public memo to President-elect Obama with recommendations on how to deal with the urgent challenges that will confront him across the volatile region.

A New Old Nuclear Arsenal

Thu, 25 Dec 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Michael O'Hanlon discusses a likely disagreement between President-elect Obama and Defense Secretary Robert gates regarding the "reliable replacement warhead" (RRW) and the U.S. nuclear arsenal. O'Hanlon believes the right strategy will have two elements: redefine the RRW program as a remanufacture of an older design, and delay that program to allow Obama to create momentum for arms control.

Managing Nuclear Proliferation in the Middle East

Wed, 17 Dec 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Bruce Riedel and Gary Samore write that attempts to stop Iran's nuclear program have failed. They offer suggestions to the incoming Obama administration on how to move forward with a new approach to prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapons capability.

American and Iran: Flawed Analysis, Missed Opportunities, and Looming Dangers

Thu, 11 Dec 2008 00:00:00 GMT

For 30 years, the United States has tried to deal with Iran and its revolutionary ideology without a well grounded understanding of what motivates and inspires Iranians. Bruce Riedel analyzes the past, current, and possible future relationship between the U.S. and Iran.

Beyond Iraq: A New U.S. Strategy for the Middle East

Thu, 11 Dec 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Martin Indyk and Richard Haass argue to be successful in the Middle East, the Obama administration will need to move beyond Iraq, find ways to deal constructively with Iran, and forge a final-status Israeli-Palestinian agreement.

Trading Off Nuclear Energy and Non-Proliferation in the 1970s and Today

Tue, 09 Dec 2008 11:15:00 GMT

Event Information:

December 09, 2008, 11:15 AM to 12:15 PM

On December 9, the Brookings Institution and the Italian Embassy will host a discussion with a keynote address by Joseph S. Nye, Jr., distinguished service professor at Harvard University, on how the forthcoming G8 Italian presidency might provide a stronger impetus towards cooperation on nuclear security—one that begins with civilian nuclear power and also addresses all of the traditional nuclear security questions.

Pathway to Coexistence: A New U.S. Policy toward Iran

Tue, 02 Dec 2008 00:00:00 GMT

The Obama administration may be tempted to take the easy way out by offering merely new rhetoric and modest refinements to the carrot-and stick approach that has failed its five predecessors. Suzanne Maloney and Ray Takeyh believe this would be a mistake. Today, to deal effectively with a rising Iran, the United States must embark on a far deeper reevaluation of its strategy and launch a comprehensive diplomatic initiative to attempt to engage its most enduring Middle Eastern foe.

A Plan for Action: Renewed American Leadership and International Cooperation for the 21st Century

Thu, 20 Nov 2008 09:00:00 GMT

Event Information:

November 20, 2008, 9:00 AM to 11:00 AM

To face the daunting problems of the global financial crisis to the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and transnational threats such as nuclear proliferation, terrorism and global climate change, the new Obama administration will need to forge global partnerships and usher in a new era of international cooperation. On November 20, the Managing Global Insecurity (MGI) Project released "A Plan for Action,” a comprehensive set of foreign policy recommendations for the next U.S. president—and other world leaders—to address the most critical challenges facing the world today.

Managing Global Insecurity: A Plan for Action

Tue, 11 Nov 2008 00:00:00 GMT

American and global leaders face a choice: they can either use this moment to help shape an international, rule-based order that will protect their global interests, or resign themselves to an ad hoc international system where they are increasingly powerless to shape the course of international affairs. The longer the delay in new approaches and new cooperation against today’s threats, the more difficult the challenges will become. Global leaders must chart a shared path forward that marries power and responsibility to achieve together what cannot be achieved apart: peace and security in a transnational world.

North Korea: Planning for After the Kims

Wed, 29 Oct 2008 00:00:00 GMT

There has been much speculation over the declining health of North Korean leader Kim Jong-il in recent weeks. Kongdan Oh writes that it is imperative to prepare for the eventual collapse of the Kim regime and that regime change in North Korea can open the way for an end to the Cold War on the Korean peninsula and build the foundation of a democratic and unified Korea that will influence the region.

U.S. Policy Toward Iran: Missed Opportunities and Paths Forward

Tue, 21 Oct 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Suzanne Maloney writes that U.S. policy toward Iran is in a profound state of disarray as international support for sanctions or use of force has dwindled recently. Maloney argues that the U.S. must first understand where the miscalculations occurred, and that the next administration should be prepared to outline a new way forward on Iran.

Toward a World Without Nuclear Weapons

Tue, 21 Oct 2008 00:00:00 GMT

The next president will have an opportunity to make the elimination of all nuclear weapons and organizing principle of U.S. nuclear policy. It will take a real commitment, at the highest levels and beginning with the United States, to turn what Ivo Daalder and Jan Lodal call the “logic of zero” into a practical reality.

In the U.S., Even Those Against the Nuclear Deal Like India

Mon, 13 Oct 2008 00:00:00 GMT

In an interview in Delhi around the time the Indo-U.S. nuclear deal cleared its last hurdles in the U.S. Congress and was signed into law by President George Bush last week, Stephen Cohen dwells on the Indo-U.S. nuclear deal, the China context around the deal, and how precarious he thinks the Pakistani democracy is.

The Next Chapter: The United States and Pakistan

Tue, 30 Sep 2008 00:00:00 GMT

The bilateral Pakistan Policy Working Group, of which Brookings Senior Fellow Stephen Cohen is a member, issued a new report on the U.S.-Pakistan relationship moving forward. The report recommends commissioning a new National Intelligence Estimate upon which to base U.S. policy. It also advocates greater economic aid, public diplomacy, market access and assistance with counterinsurgency, assuming Pakistan can deliver results against extremism in the tribal areas and adequately oversee its intelligence services.

The Debate on Foreign Policy We Want to Hear

Fri, 26 Sep 2008 00:00:00 GMT

The Washington Post asked a group of foreign affairs analysts and other experts for their take on what the candidates should discuss in the first presidential debate. Brookings Senior Fellows Stephen Cohen and Michael O'Hanlon offered their thoughts.

Keeping North Korea in Mind

Fri, 26 Sep 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Michael O'Hanlon writes that Korea has been the forgotten nuclear crisis, but the presidential candidates need to talk about—and show understanding of—the issues. O'Hanlon believes North Korea should be offered a roadmap to much improved economic and political relations if it gives up nuclear weapons and makes gradual reforms in its conventional military, its economy and its human rights behavior.

Don't Reject the U.S.-India Nuclear Deal

Wed, 24 Sep 2008 00:00:00 GMT

As the U.S.-India civil nuclear agreement goes to Congress for approval, Philip Gordon notes the considerable advantages and limited downsides the pact will hold for both countries. He argues that rejection of the deal would only serve to isolate the United States by denying firms the opportunity to participate in partnerships with an emerging strategic partner.

Diplomatic Strategies for Dealing with Iran

Fri, 12 Sep 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Suzanne Maloney writes about diplomatic options for the next administration in dealing with Iran. Maloney offers ideas on how Iran may respond to new U.S. initiatives by exploring previous cases of dialogue, and she concludes by presenting a sense of how Tehran views talking with Washington.

What Does Russia Want? How Do We Respond?

Thu, 11 Sep 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Steven Pifer spoke before the George Bush School of Government and Public Service at Texas A&M to outline Russia's ambitions in the world, and what the U.S. can do to respond. Pifer believes that U.S. policy must be firm and principled, but it must also treat Russia as more of a partner than a problem going forward.

Musharraf’s Departure Is Good for Pakistan but Is It Too Late?

Mon, 18 Aug 2008 00:00:00 GMT

With the resignation of Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf, Brookings South Asia expert Bruce Riedel explores the former Pakistani leader's role as a U.S. ally in the fight against Al Qaeda and other extremists. Riedel examines the future of Pakistan without Musharraf at the helm.

Looking for Fallout from the U.S.-India Nuclear Deal

Fri, 01 Aug 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Stephen Cohen and Dhruva Jaishankar assess possible implications of the U.S.-India nuclear deal on the broader U.S.-India relationship. They argue that while the agreement is unlikely to trigger a breakdown in the global nuclear order, several issues need to be examined.

The U.S.-India Nuclear Agreement

Wed, 30 Jul 2008 14:00:00 GMT

Event Information:

July 30, 2008, 2:00 PM to 3:00 PM

Boosting prospects for the U.S.-India nuclear agreement, the IAEA approved an inspections plan that paves the way for finalizing the deal between the two countries. In a recent panel discussion on the agreement, Brookings President Strobe Talbott, former Under Secretary of State Nicholas Burns, Robert Einhorn of CSIS and Brookings Senior Fellow Stephen P. Cohen discussed the future and implications of the deal.

Vietnam's Model for North Korea

Thu, 17 Jul 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Michael O'Hanlon believes North Korea's recent nuclear declaration is good news, but he also warns the U.S. must remain cautious about the outcome. O'Hanlon argues that if the U.S. and its allies focus on fostering reform in North Korea, through carrots of aid, trade, investment and diplomatic contact, all parties may avoid returning to a crisis of severe levels.

Iran and U.S. Missile Defense

Thu, 10 Jul 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Ivo Daalder joined Diane Rehm to discuss Iran's test-firing of a series of missiles and the Bush administration's continued pursuit of a Europe-based missile defense shield to counter the threat from Iran.

It Would Benefit China to Be Tougher on Iran

Wed, 09 Jul 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Philip Gordon assesses China's role in recent diplomatic initiatives meant to contain Iran's nuclear program. Gordon believes China should stop refusing to place significant sanctions on Iran, and that Chinese leaders should focus on the long-term regional and global impact of a nuclear capable Iran instead of the short-term impact of their energy relationship.

North Korea's Nuclear Declaration

Thu, 26 Jun 2008 00:00:00 GMT

With North Korea now releasing information on its nuclear program and the Bush Administration stating that it will lift sanctions and remove North Korea from its list of terrorist states, Jeffrey Bader and Richard Bush offer their comments on both actions and offer recommendations for future U.S. policy. Bader and Bush say that North Korea will first need to allow on-the-ground verification at its nuclear sites.

L’Italia, attore centrale nei negoziati con l’Iran?

Tue, 17 Jun 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Federiga Bindi discusses Italy’s inclusion in the 5+1 Group and negotiations with Iran. (Italian with translation available)

Terrorism and Weapons of Mass Destruction

Fri, 13 Jun 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Daniel Byman submitted recommendations to the Commission on the Prevention of Weapons of Mass Destruction Proliferation and Terrorism for improving the United States government’s ability to conceptualize, organize for, and counter the threat of terrorists acquiring and using WMD.

The U.S.-Pakistan Strategic Relationship and Nuclear Safety/Security

Thu, 12 Jun 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Stephen Cohen testified before the Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Government Affairs to highlight four major challenges Pakistan’s nuclear capabilities present to United States policy toward the country and region. He noted that both short and long term measures must be taken to stabilize Pakistan domestically in order to keep the prospect of total state failure, and the numerous problems associated with such, at bay.

Traveling the Road to Nuclear Reduction

Mon, 09 Jun 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Both presidential candidates have stated that they will pursue a return to a nuclear arms control policy which has been in limbo for the last 6 years. Steven Pifer believes such a policy can reduce the threat facing the U.S. in a number of ways and help reestablish a better relationship with Moscow.

Democracy, Not Weapons, Should Drive U.S.-Pakistan Agenda

Wed, 04 Jun 2008 00:00:00 GMT

America has failed democratic forces in Pakistan, writes Bruce Riedel. Under a military dictatorship that enabled the growth of al Qaeda, the country now poses the primary danger to America. The next president must go beyond threats and sanctions, Riedel urges, and help Pakistan find peace with its neighbors and itself through democracy.

U.S. is One of the ‘Central Pillars’ of Indian Foreign Policy

Tue, 29 Apr 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Bruce Riedel sees the improvement in U.S.-India relations as a major accomplishment of the Bush administration, which carried forward progress made during President Bill Clinton’s tenure. Riedel says the U.S.-India nuclear agreement, which has been held up by opposition in India’s parliament, is likely to be approved next year, and that both major Indian political parties now see the United States as one of “the central pillars of India’s foreign policy.”

U.S. Policy and Syria: Who's Converting Whom?

Thu, 24 Apr 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Testifying before the Subcommittee on the Middle East and South Asia of the House Committee on Foreign Affairs, Peter Rodman argued "the conditions do not exist for an improvement of relations with Syria as long as Syrian policies remain hostile to important interest of ours in the Middle East." He concluded that Syria must change course in relation to Iraq, Lebanon, and Arab-Israeli peace before the U.S. reaches out to the country.

South Asia’s Nuclear Decade

Fri, 11 Apr 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Bruce Riedel writes that the danger of a nuclear confrontation between India and Pakistan remains serious and should be addressed by creative diplomacy.

Nonproliferation Trip Report: India

Wed, 09 Apr 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Bruce Riedel traveled to India in February to meet with business leaders, government officials, and members of the media. Riedel notes that much of the conversations revolved around Iran’s pursuit of nuclear capabilities and the Iran-India relationship. Some in the United States have strongly criticized India for maintaining strong economic relations with Iran and for having exchanges of low-level military delegations. Riedel notes that although India opposes a nuclear Iran, its ties with Iran will lead it to oppose use of a military option against Iran.

S970: The Iran Counter-Proliferation Act of 2007

Tue, 08 Apr 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Testifying before the Senate Finance Committee, Philip Gordon shared his perspective on the Iran Counter-Proliferation Act (S970). He argued that while the bill recognizes a "broad set of diplomatic, political and economic measures,” in order to change Iran's behavior, "we must take great care not to provoke divisions within the international coalition that has been forming to contain Iran."

Breaking New Ground with India: Build a Valuable Indo-U.S. Strategic Partnership

Tue, 08 Apr 2008 00:00:00 GMT

To assure that Indo-U.S. relations attain more of their capacity to benefit both countries, Bruce Riedel and Karl Inderfurth explain that the next president should embark on a course that can be labeled “policy continuity-plus.”

The Emerging Architecture for Security and Cooperation in Northeast Asia

Mon, 31 Mar 2008 00:00:00 GMT

James Goodby believe the outlook for the Korean Peninsula is far from bleak, but top-level leadership in all countries will be required if 2008 is to see significant progress toward a new system for peace and security in Northeast Asia.

Iran, Terrorism, and Weapons of Mass Destruction

Wed, 19 Mar 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Daniel Byman assesses Iran’s past and current use of terrorism as well as the threat of proxy groups using weapons of mass destruction at the request of the country's leaders. He concludes by offering recommendations for decreasing Iran’s support of terrorist organizations.

Resurrecting the Test-Ban Treaty

Wed, 12 Mar 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Michael O'Hanlon discusses the usefuleness of nuclear test-ban treaties and offers suggestions for the next president to build on the signing of past treaties.

What Impact Will Pakistan’s Elections Have?

Wed, 13 Feb 2008 00:00:00 GMT

The assassination of Pakistani opposition leader Benazir Bhutto in the middle of the country’s election campaign has thrown the already fraught political future of the country into further confusion. Stephen Cohen and Tariq Ali answer questions online in the leadup to next week's election.

North Korea Now: Will the Clock Be Turned Back?

Mon, 11 Feb 2008 00:00:00 GMT

The overall mood regarding possibilities for Korean denuclearization has changed dramatically for the worse since the beginning of 2008. CNAPS Visiting Fellow Georgy Toloraya writes that there is a danger that this pessimism could roll back the progress made thanks to engagement policies in the past year.