Brookings: Experts - Joshua M. Epstein

The Costs of Containing H1N1

Thu, 29 Oct 2009 13:39:10 GMT

The Center on Social and Economic Dynamics at Brookings has released a comprehensive report on the economic impact of closing schools and day care centers to help mitigate the infection rate of the H1N1 virus. Center director Joshua Epstein highlights some of the study’s findings and notes that the cost for such closures could be substantial.

H1N1 Containment: Economic Cost and Workforce Effects of School Closures

Wed, 30 Sep 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Policymakers are looking at school closures to contain the spread of an H1N1 influenza outbreak. In the first comprehensive U.S. study of the economic cost of school and daycare center closures, the Center on Social and Economic Dynamics at Brookings finds that closing all schools in the United States for four weeks could cost up to $47 billion and lead to a reduction of up to 17% in key health care personnel.

How Computer Modeling Can Stem the Spread of Influenza

Tue, 01 Sep 2009 13:35:02 GMT

Experts are bracing for an extremely high H1N1 flu infection rate this fall and winter. Joshua Epstein says computer modeling can help the medical community and policy-makers predict which populations are most susceptible to infection, how great the infection rate will be and how to stem the spread of the virus.

Modelling to Contain Pandemics

Thu, 06 Aug 2009 00:00:00 GMT

Joshua M. Epstein explains that agent-based computational models can capture irrational behaviour, complex social networks and global scale — all essential in confronting H1N1.

How Computer Modeling Can Avert Pandemic Outbreaks

Mon, 22 Dec 2008 15:55:44 GMT

Brookings’s Center on Social and Economic Dynamics has pioneered a model that forecasts how infectious diseases like the flu spread. Center director Joshua Epstein says the Obama administration should use modeling to avert pandemic outbreaks and restore faith in the public health system.

Coupled Contagion Dynamics of Fear and Disease: Mathematical and Computational Explorations

Mon, 15 Dec 2008 00:00:00 GMT

In classical mathematical epidemiology, individuals do not adapt their contact behavior during epidemics. They do not endogenously engage, for example, in social distancing based on fear. Yet, adaptive behavior is well-documented in true epidemics. Joshua M. Epstein, Jon Parker, Derek Cummings, and Ross A. Hammond explore the effect of including such behavior in models of epidemic dynamics.

Modeling Social Behavior

Wed, 26 Nov 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Joshua Epstein gave a presentation on why model social behavior during a NIH conference, which explored the field of social behavior modeling, identifying opportunities, challenges, and gaps in our collective knowledge. Participants explored the scope and direction of the field through presentations and facilitated discussion.

Why Model?

Fri, 31 Oct 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Based on a keynote address, Joshua M. Epstein discusses and challenges enduring misconceptions about modeling, offering sixteen reasons other than prediction to build a model.

Artificial Society: Getting Clues on How a Pandemic Might Happen by Creating a Huge Model of the United States

Wed, 02 Apr 2008 00:00:00 GMT

With the possibility of a national or international emergency, people need to know how to best be prepared. Joshua M. Epstein discusses how agent-based computational modeling has the ability to create artificial societies to model human behavior in an emergency situation.

Q&A With Joshua Epstein on Computational Modeling

Wed, 19 Mar 2008 00:00:00 GMT

CSED Director and Economic Studies Senior Fellow Joshua Epstein explains his breakthrough computational modeling work, with a focus on how agent-based modeling can help explain human behavior as well as make strides in the public health field.

A Hybrid Epidemic Model: Combining the Advantages of Agent-based and Equation-based Approaches

Thu, 27 Dec 2007 00:00:00 GMT

With Feng Yu, Brookings Senior Fellow Joshua M. Epstein and Nonresident Fellows Georgiy V. Bobashev and D. Michael Goedecke introduce a hybrid Agent-based and Equation-based model that can dramatically save time and can better describe epidemiological processes involving human behavioral response.

Agent Based Modeling: Population Health from the Bottom Up

Fri, 13 Jul 2007 00:00:00 GMT

Presentation by Joshua M. Epstein (07/13/07)

Complex Systems Approaches to Population Health

Wed, 30 May 2007 00:00:00 GMT

Brookings' Senior Fellow Joshua M. Epstein joined scholars from across the country at the University of Michigan to explore how complex systems approaches can be used to understand the broad problems of population health.

Can We Model The Real World

Sat, 12 May 2007 00:00:00 GMT

Interview with Joshua M. Epstein (05/12/07)

Pandemic Influenza and the Value of International Travel Restrictions

Fri, 01 Dec 2006 00:00:00 GMT

CSED Working Paper #46 by Joshua M. Epstein, D. Michael Goedecke, Feng Yu, Robert J. Morris, Diane K. Wagener, and Georgiy V. Bobashev (December 2006)

Remarks on the Foundations of Agent-Based Generative Social Science

Fri, 01 Jul 2005 00:00:00 GMT

In this CSED Working Paper, Brookings Senior Fellow, Joshua Epstein, treats a variety of epistemological issues surrounding generative explanation in the social sciences, and discusses the role of agent-based computational models in generative social science.

Toward a Containment Strategy for Smallpox Bioterror : An Individual-Based Computational Approach

Tue, 01 Jun 2004 00:00:00 GMT

This book describes the results of a cutting-edge computer model used to simulate a smallpox epidemic in a two-town county. By providing public health policymakers with a variety of feasible vaccination and isolation strategies, these models are play

Toward a Containment Strategy for Smallpox Bioterror: An Individual-Based Computational Approach

Sun, 01 Dec 2002 00:00:00 GMT

CSED Working Paper No. 31: Toward a Containment Strategy for Smallpox Bioterror: An Individual-Based Computational Approach

Modeling Civil Violence: An Agent-Based Computational Approach

Mon, 01 Jan 2001 00:00:00 GMT

CSED Working Paper #20 by Joshua M. Epstein (January 2001)

The Emergence of Classes in a Multi-Agent Bargaining Model

Tue, 01 Feb 2000 00:00:00 GMT

The Emergence of Classes in a Multi-Agent Bargaining Model

Coordination in Transient Social Networks: An Agent-Based Computational Model on the Timing of Retirement

Sat, 01 May 1999 00:00:00 GMT

Coordination in Transient Social Networks:

Growing Artificial Societies : Social Science From the Bottom Up

Tue, 22 Oct 1996 00:00:00 GMT

How do social structures and group behaviors arise from the interaction of individuals? In this groundbreaking study, Joshua M. Epstein and Robert L. Axtell approach this age-old question with cutting-edge computer simulation techniques.

Controlling the Greenhouse Effect : Five Global Regimes Compared

Fri, 19 Oct 1990 00:00:00 GMT

This book discusses the need for and potential of unilateral action to reduce greenhouse gases, which are leading directly to temperature increase.

Conventional Force Reductions : A Dynamic Assessment

Tue, 24 Apr 1990 00:00:00 GMT

With the opening of the Berlin Wall and the emergence of democracy in Eastern Europe, there are widespread pressures-- including the domestic deificit-- for major conventional force reductions in Europe. In this book, Josh Epstein explains his newly