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    <title>Brookings: Experts - Derek Cummings</title>
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    <pubDate>Tue, 24 Nov 2009 04:33:32 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Coupled Contagion Dynamics of Fear and Disease: Mathematical and Computational Explorations </title>
      <link>http://webfeeds.brookings.edu/~r/BrookingsRSS/experts/cummingsd/~3/gy_q7h5freA/10dynamics_epstein.aspx</link>
      <description>&lt;img src="http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/Images/FeaturetteSmall/I/IJ IO/infectiousdisease001_fs.jpg?bc=Transparent&amp;mh=125&amp;mw=125" alt="Coupled Contagion Dynamics of Fear and Disease: Mathematical and Computational Explorations " border="0"/&gt;&lt;br&gt;In classical mathematical epidemiology, individuals do not adapt their contact behavior during epidemics. They do not endogenously engage, for example, in social distancing based on fear. Yet, adaptive behavior is well-documented in true epidemics. Joshua M. Epstein, Jon Parker, Derek Cummings, and Ross A. Hammond explore the effect of including such behavior in models of epidemic dynamics. &amp;nbsp;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/BrookingsRSS/experts/cummingsd/~4/gy_q7h5freA" height="1" width="1"/&gt;</description>
      <pubDate>Mon, 15 Dec 2008 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
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      <title>Toward a Containment Strategy for Smallpox Bioterror : An Individual-Based Computational Approach</title>
      <link>http://webfeeds.brookings.edu/~r/BrookingsRSS/experts/cummingsd/~3/VNrfOOmEW2c/towardacontainmentstrategyforsmallpoxbioterror.aspx</link>
      <description>&lt;img src="http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/Press/Books/2004/towardacontainmentstrategyforsmallpoxbioterror/towardacontainmentstrategyforsmallpoxbioterror.gif?bc=Transparent&amp;mh=79&amp;mw=53" border="0"/&gt;&lt;br&gt;This book describes the results of a cutting-edge computer model used to simulate a smallpox epidemic in a two-town county. By providing public health policymakers with a variety of feasible vaccination and isolation strategies, these models are play&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/BrookingsRSS/experts/cummingsd/~4/VNrfOOmEW2c" height="1" width="1"/&gt;</description>
      <pubDate>Tue, 01 Jun 2004 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
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